2024 College Football Playoff RWE

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First Round:

Notre Dame 21, Indiana 5 (99.6%)
Penn State 26, SMU 9 (99.6%)
Texas 38, Clemson 25 (97.5%)

Ohio State 62, Tennessee 12 (100%)

Quarterfinals:

Penn State 23, Boise State 21 (64.1%)

Texas 26, Arizona State 17 (90.7%)

Ohio State 64, Oregon 13 (100%)

Notre Dame 18, Georgia 14 (70.0%)

Semifinals:
Penn State 30, Notre Dame 23 (87.2%)

Ohio State 28, Texas 17 (95.7%)

Championship:

Ohio State 43, Notre Dame 26 (99.7%)

Top 3 Surprise Scores:

Ohio State vs Oregon (31)

Ohio State vs Tennessee (20)

Penn State vs Boise State (19)

RWE Explained:
https://noahwestrick.com/rematch-win-expectancy-rwe-a-predictive-metric-for-football-teams/

RWE Surprise Score Explained:
https://noahwestrick.com/rwe-surprise-score/

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